A number of opinion leaders in the country's academic and business circles are cautiously suggesting that the Korean private sector businesses should ask overseas creditors to forgive part of their debts. Such suggestion was reinforced by US Treasury Secretary Rubin’s statement made at the end of last month that international creditors need to consider restructuring their loans to newly industrializing countries in Asia. However, there are many who are opposed to that suggestion for fear of potential backfire.
Private sector companies who borrowed money recklessly from foreign banks are to blame to begin with. However, those foreign banks who lent money recklessly to the Korean private sector companies should be held responsible as well.
Pros:
One of the primary rationales behind the loss-sharing request is that the country's
businesses can expect virtually no hope of regaining their profitability unless
their foreign debts are reduced at a time when a base for domestic sales is
crumbling down and the export outlook is bleak. The overhang of debt will continue
to drag the Korean economy. Ph.D Choi Gong-Pil of the Korea Institute of Finance
argued that we should take advantage of the current situation where there is
a move to establish an organization in developed countries exclusively responsible
for buying loans from newly industrialized countries. He said we must get supports
from overseas creditors as Korean financial institutions are doomed to suffer
greatly in the course of the Korean companies’ efforts to reduce debt-equity
leverage ratios from 600% to 200%. Ph. D Kim Jun-Kyung of KDI also asserted
that the loss-sharing principle should be equally applied to both domestic and
overseas financial institutions in view of the fact that Korean Chaebols are
paying back their loans to foreign creditors by borrowings from Korean banks,
which will result in incremental burden on the part of tax payers. Mr. Kim Soo-Ryong,
former Managing Director of Chase Manhattan Bank, suggested that it is wise
for Korea to offer a menu of options inducing a voluntary debt reduction from
international creditors. The menu of options should include debt-for equity
conversion (swap). Mandatory debt reduction is risky and detrimental to the
long-term interest of Korea. Therefore, he said the menu of options would allow
banks to pursue alternatives and yet continue to lend new money to Korea.
Cons: Many experts, however, counter the idea of making a request for foreign
debt forgiveness as they are deemed risky and detrimental to national interest.
Korean Government is taking a firm stand against making the subject an issue
for fear that the suggestion may arouse tension among overseas creditors. It
is the Government’s conservative position that it will follow the general
trend only after the issue of debt forgiveness progresses internationally. Ph.D
Lee Jang-Young of the Korea Institute of Finance says such an argument could
only be detrimental to Korea’s credibility now that the economy appears
to be on the road to recovery. He argues we should hold back the issue until
we face a stark reality where Korea becomes absolutely insolvent. Prof. Cho
Yoon-Je at Seogang University’s International Graduate School says it
will only do more harm than good to request for loss-sharing since it may block
the capital inflow from abroad. He also suggests that the companies in the private
sector must deal with its own problems with overseas creditors individually.
Mr. Park Jin-Hee, Director of Citibank Seoul warned a sudden demand for debt
reduction would give a wrong signal to international creditors that Korea’s
economy is in a dire situation and the government’s commitment for the
economic restructuring will be questioned. Mr. Bizan Agebli, Head of the IMF
Policy Committee asserted such a discussion for loss-sharing is inappropriate
as the economy is able to manage the current size of foreign debt.